Curious about the performance of short-term rentals in Osaka, Japan? Over the last year, the average occupancy rate was 62% with an ADR (Average Daily Rate) of 88€. Hosts earned on average 1600€ per month.

90-day occupancy forecast for Osaka so you can update rates and stay ahead of competitors.
Key metrics to optimize your pricing strategy
Avg. Monthly Revenue
1600€
$1456 USD
YoY Revenue Change
-15%
vs. previous year
Occupancy Rate
62%
~19 days/month
Average Daily Rate
88€
$80 USD
Seasonality Index
73%
demand variation
Best Months
October, August
peak season
Worst Months
June, February
low season
Our AI-powered platform automatically optimizes your rates. Maximize your revenue with intelligent dynamic pricing.
Over the analysis period 2025-06 to 2026-05, Osaka shows 65% average occupancy with an ADR of 90€ (about $82) and average monthly revenue of roughly 1,675€ ($1,523). Osaka is the only Japanese city in our dataset, so these figures effectively set the national benchmark rather than sitting above or below a wider average. The property earns its income across 232 booked nights a year, a solid utilisation rate that reflects the city's broad, multi-season appeal.
The seasonality index of 67% confirms demand is fairly even, concentrated but not extreme around the October and August peaks. The standout caution is revenue year-on-year at -9%: nightly rates and bookings have softened versus the prior period, likely a mix of new supply and rate pressure, so hosts should price competitively and lean on the festival and blossom peaks to protect annual income.
Average occupancy rate by month in Osaka, compared with the same month a year earlier.
| Month | Occupancy | Prior year |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2025 | 72.3% | 69.9% |
| Aug 2025 | 71.7% | 64.3% |
| Sep 2025 | 72.8% | 57.9% |
| Oct 2025 | 75.9% | 69.7% |
| Nov 2025 | 66.9% | 73.1% |
| Dec 2025 | 58.6% | 71.5% |
| Jan 2026 | 47.8% | 65.6% |
| Feb 2026 | 55.9% | 68.7% |
| Mar 2026 | 60.3% | 68.2% |
| Apr 2026 | 60.3% | 84.6% |
| May 2026 | 57.9% | 78.5% |
| Jun 2026 | 48% | 73.1% |
📌 Historical trends reveal seasonal highs – plan accordingly.
These figures reflect real-time demand in Osaka, helping you plan and price strategically.
Osaka is western Japan's main tourist gateway and a near-permanent draw for short-term rental demand. Guests come for the food culture of Dotonbori and Kuromon Market, day trips to nearby Kyoto and Nara, and Universal Studios Japan in the bay area, which alone keeps family bookings strong year-round. Kansai International Airport feeds a steady stream of inbound visitors from Korea, China, Taiwan and Southeast Asia, many on short city breaks rather than the longer Tokyo-Osaka rail circuit.
Demand skews toward compact two-to-four-guest apartments near a metro line, since most visitors treat Osaka as a walkable eating-and-shopping base. The weak yen has made the city unusually affordable for foreign travellers, sustaining occupancy even as nightly rates stay modest by global standards. Hosts who sit within a few stops of Namba or Umeda capture the bulk of this traffic.
Osaka's strongest months are October and August. October brings comfortable autumn weather and the lead-up to foliage season across Kansai, while August is driven by summer festivals and school-holiday travel. July is also busy thanks to the Tenjin Matsuri (24-25 July), one of Japan's three great festivals, with its river procession and fireworks over the Okawa, and the nearby Kishiwada Danjiri Matsuri (19-20 September) pulls crowds into early autumn.
The weakest months are February and January, when cold weather and the post-New-Year lull thin out leisure travel. A secondary spike lands in late March and early April for cherry-blossom season at Osaka Castle Park and Kema Sakuranomiya, when hosts can push rates hard for a short window. Overall seasonality is moderate, so well-placed units stay occupied most of the year rather than relying on one peak.
Namba and the surrounding Minami area (Dotonbori, Shinsaibashi, Nipponbashi) are the default for first-time visitors and command the highest nightly rates, putting guests inside the nightlife and street-food core. Umeda (Kita), the northern business and shopping hub around Osaka and Umeda stations, suits travellers who want department stores, transport links and easy access to Kyoto.
Tennoji and Shinsekai offer cheaper, more retro stays near Abeno Harukas and good rail connections, appealing to budget and longer-stay guests. The Osaka Bay area near Universal Studios Japan is a specialised family market with its own demand rhythm tied to the park. For most hosts, a small apartment within walking distance of a Midosuji-line or loop-line station outperforms a larger unit in a quieter ward.
Osaka City operates two distinct short-term rental tracks. The first is the nationwide Minpaku regime under the 2018 Private Lodging Business Act, which lets registered hosts rent for up to 180 nights per year (counted April to March). The second is Osaka's National Strategic Special Zone (Tokku) minpaku, available across all city wards, which removes the 180-night cap and permits year-round operation but requires a minimum stay of two nights and a maximum of nine.
The Special Zone certification is the more profitable route, but Osaka City suspended new Special Zone applications in 2025-2026, narrowing this path for newcomers. Either track requires formal registration or certification, neighbour notification and safety compliance; operating an unregistered listing risks fines. Confirm the current status of both pathways with Osaka City before committing, as the rules are actively tightening.
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* Calculations based on 30 days/month. Actual results may vary depending on market, season, property type, and implemented strategy.
Osaka averages about 65% occupancy, which works out to roughly 232 booked nights per year. That is a healthy utilisation rate driven by the city's mix of food tourism, Universal Studios traffic and its role as a base for Kyoto and Nara day trips, keeping well-located apartments busy across most of the year rather than just one peak season.
October and August are the strongest months, with autumn weather and summer-festival demand respectively. July is also strong around the Tenjin Matsuri (24-25 July), and late March to early April brings a sharp cherry-blossom spike at Osaka Castle Park. February and January are the quietest, so plan lower rates and minimum stays for the winter lull.
Yes. You must either register under Japan's Minpaku law, capped at 180 nights per year, or obtain Osaka's Special Zone (Tokku) certification, which allows year-round operation but enforces a two-night minimum and nine-night maximum stay. New Special Zone applications were suspended in 2025-2026, so check the current status with Osaka City; unregistered listings face fines.
Namba and the Minami area (Dotonbori, Shinsaibashi) command the highest rates and suit first-time visitors. Umeda (Kita) appeals to shoppers and those connecting to Kyoto, while Tennoji and Shinsekai offer cheaper, longer-stay demand. The Osaka Bay area is a family market tied to Universal Studios. Proximity to a Midosuji or loop-line station matters more than unit size.