Curious about the performance of short-term rentals in Tulum, Mexico? Over the last year, the average occupancy rate was 45% with an ADR (Average Daily Rate) of 99€. Hosts earned on average 1267€ per month.

90-day occupancy forecast for Tulum so you can update rates and stay ahead of competitors.
Key metrics to optimize your pricing strategy
Avg. Monthly Revenue
1267€
$1153 USD
YoY Revenue Change
-22%
vs. previous year
Occupancy Rate
45%
~14 days/month
Average Daily Rate
99€
$90 USD
Seasonality Index
99%
demand variation
Best Months
January, February
peak season
Worst Months
September, May
low season
Our AI-powered platform automatically optimizes your rates. Maximize your revenue with intelligent dynamic pricing.
Over the June 2025 to May 2026 window, Tulum ran just 45% average occupancy across roughly 162 booked nights a year, eight points below the 53% Mexican national average and among the softer markets of the seven Mexican cities ListingOK tracks. Its 100 euro average daily rate is mid-range, producing average monthly revenue of about 1,286 euros per listing, modest for a destination with Tulum's international profile, and a direct consequence of low occupancy rather than weak rates.
The headline figure is a 22% year-on-year revenue decline, one of the steepest drops in the dataset and the clearest signal of a market in correction. With 407 active listings chasing a shrinking pool of nights, the maths is stark: too much supply, softening demand and a seasonality index of 98% that offers no reliable high season to lean on. Read together, the numbers describe a maturing, oversupplied resort market where disciplined pricing and cost control matter far more than chasing volume.
Average occupancy rate by month in Tulum, compared with the same month a year earlier.
| Month | Occupancy | Prior year |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2025 | 44.9% | 45.7% |
| Aug 2025 | 41.4% | 44.1% |
| Sep 2025 | 39.3% | 43.2% |
| Oct 2025 | 45.3% | 44.2% |
| Nov 2025 | 55.3% | 56.9% |
| Dec 2025 | 54.2% | 57.9% |
| Jan 2026 | 52.4% | 59.3% |
| Feb 2026 | 50.1% | 53% |
| Mar 2026 | 49.5% | 53.4% |
| Apr 2026 | 41.3% | 49.5% |
| May 2026 | 38.4% | 39% |
| Jun 2026 | 40.5% | 43.1% |
📌 Historical trends reveal seasonal highs – plan accordingly.
These figures reflect real-time demand in Tulum, helping you plan and price strategically.
Tulum sits on the Caribbean coast of Quintana Roo, at the southern end of the Riviera Maya, and built its short-term rental market on a distinctive blend of beach, jungle and wellness tourism. Demand is driven by the clifftop Maya ruins overlooking the sea, the long white-sand beach and hotel zone (Zona Hotelera), the cenotes and the Sian Ka'an biosphere, plus a heavy flow of digital nomads, yoga and wellness travellers and party-and-festival visitors drawn to the boho-luxury brand the town has cultivated. The opening of Tulum International Airport in late 2023 and the Tren Maya line improved access and reshaped arrival patterns.
The defining feature of this market, however, is oversupply meeting cooling demand. With more than 400 active listings in a small town and roughly 24,000 short-term units across the state, Tulum has more inventory than its softening visitor numbers can absorb. New rooftop bars, beach clubs and condo developments keep adding capacity, so operators here compete hard on price and differentiation, and the headline revenue decline reflects that squeeze rather than any collapse in Tulum's appeal.
Tulum's seasonality is inverted relative to European beach markets: the strongest months are January and February, the dry-season peak when North American and European travellers escape winter for the Caribbean, and the weakest are September and May. The autumn trough coincides with the Atlantic hurricane season and the worst of the sargassum seaweed influx, while the late-spring dip in May reflects rising heat, humidity and the gap before the summer holiday flow.
What stands out in the latest data is how compressed the whole curve has become. Even the winter peak now sits only in the low-to-mid 50s, and the September floor has slipped toward the high 30s, so the seasonality index of 98% describes a market that swings meaningfully but from a low base. Compared with the steep summer spikes of Mediterranean resorts, Tulum's pattern is flatter and weaker across the board, which means there is no single window where occupancy reliably runs high, the practical play is firm winter pricing and lean cost control through the soft autumn months.
Tulum splits cleanly into a handful of well-defined areas with very different rental profiles. The Zona Hotelera, the beachfront strip running south along the coast road, holds the highest-rate, most aspirational stock, boutique cabañas and beach-club-adjacent villas that trade on direct sand access but carry the highest costs and the toughest seasonality. Tulum Centro, the town itself, is the budget-and-local option, with apartments near restaurants, supermarkets and the bus station that convert on value and convenience.
The growth has been inland in the planned residential districts. Aldea Zama, a master-planned area of modern condos between town and beach, and the up-and-coming La Veleta just beside it have absorbed most of the new digital-nomad and long-stay demand, offering pools, walkability and quick access to the beach by bike or scooter. These newer condo zones are where most of the recent supply has landed, which is also where the oversupply pressure is most visible. Across all areas, RETUR-Q registration is now the baseline requirement rather than the location premium.
Tulum's short-term rentals fall under Quintana Roo state regulation, which tightened materially in 2025. Hosts must register with the State Tourism Registry (RETUR-Q) before listing, and the state has signalled fines for operating unregistered. Beyond registration, operators are expected to hold a state operating licence through the Quintana Roo tax administration, comply with Civil Protection safety requirements, and collect the state lodging tax, generally in the 5 to 6 percent range, which platforms such as Airbnb now withhold and remit on most bookings.
A further shift in 2025 hands municipalities (including Tulum itself) the power to set their own licensing rules, safety standards and fee structures on top of the state framework, so requirements can vary locally and are still settling. Mexico also requires income from rentals to be declared for federal tax, typically via RFC registration and platform withholding. Because the municipal rules are new and evolving, anyone entering the Tulum market should confirm the current RETUR-Q, municipal licensing and tax obligations with the state tourism authority and the Tulum ayuntamiento before operating.
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* Calculations based on 30 days/month. Actual results may vary depending on market, season, property type, and implemented strategy.
Tulum averaged about 45% occupancy over the June 2025 to May 2026 period, roughly 162 booked nights a year. That is eight points below the 53% Mexican national average and among the softer of the seven Mexican cities ListingOK tracks, reflecting an oversupplied market where more than 400 active listings compete for a shrinking pool of nights.
January and February are the strongest months, the dry-season winter peak when North American and European travellers escape the cold; September and May are the weakest, hit by hurricane season, sargassum seaweed and summer heat. Even so, the winter peak now only reaches the low-to-mid 50s, so price firmly in high season and control costs tightly through the soft autumn.
Yes. Quintana Roo tightened its rules in 2025: hosts must register with the State Tourism Registry (RETUR-Q), typically hold a state operating licence, meet Civil Protection safety requirements and collect the 5 to 6 percent state lodging tax, which platforms now withhold. Municipalities including Tulum can now add their own licensing rules, so confirm current state and municipal obligations before operating.
The beachfront Zona Hotelera commands the highest rates with direct sand access but the toughest costs and seasonality; Tulum Centro is the value-and-convenience option near restaurants and the bus station. Aldea Zama and the up-and-coming La Veleta, master-planned condo districts between town and beach, draw most digital-nomad and long-stay demand but are also where the oversupply is most acute. RETUR-Q registration matters everywhere.