Curious about the performance of short-term rentals in Big Bear Lake, United States? Over the last year, the average occupancy rate was 36% with an ADR (Average Daily Rate) of 279€. Hosts earned on average 2866€ per month.

90-day occupancy forecast for Big Bear Lake so you can update rates and stay ahead of competitors.
Key metrics to optimize your pricing strategy
Avg. Monthly Revenue
2866€
$2608 USD
YoY Revenue Change
-7%
vs. previous year
Occupancy Rate
36%
~11 days/month
Average Daily Rate
279€
$254 USD
Seasonality Index
115%
demand variation
Best Months
December, January
peak season
Worst Months
May, September
low season
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Big Bear Lake's numbers describe a tough, supply-heavy market. It ran just 36% average occupancy over the period, a striking 20 points below the 56% national reference and among the lower figures of the 42 US cities tracked, across only about 130 booked nights a year. That low fill reflects both the weekend-concentrated demand pattern and the deep 361-listing supply competing for it.
The offset is rate: a 281 euro (255 dollar) average daily rate, typical of larger cabin rentals, lifts average monthly revenue to 2,862 euros despite the thin occupancy. The concern is an 8% year-on-year revenue decline, suggesting softening demand or oversupply pressure, consistent with the licence cap arriving in a crowded field. Read together, the takeaway is that Big Bear rewards rate and weekend optimisation over occupancy chasing, and operators must compete hard on cabin quality and amenities to defend bookings.
Average occupancy rate by month in Big Bear Lake, compared with the same month a year earlier.
| Month | Occupancy | Prior year |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 2025 | 41.7% | 41% |
| Aug 2025 | 41.6% | 37.2% |
| Sep 2025 | 27.6% | 22.5% |
| Oct 2025 | 36.9% | 33.5% |
| Nov 2025 | 42.6% | 41.3% |
| Dec 2025 | 51.4% | 49.2% |
| Jan 2026 | 41.9% | 38.2% |
| Feb 2026 | 43.2% | 41.8% |
| Mar 2026 | 29.4% | 34.1% |
| Apr 2026 | 30.6% | 25.3% |
| May 2026 | 35.2% | 30.7% |
| Jun 2026 | 40.6% | 38.8% |
📌 Historical trends reveal seasonal highs – plan accordingly.
These figures reflect real-time demand in Big Bear Lake, helping you plan and price strategically.
Big Bear Lake sits in the San Bernardino Mountains of Southern California, and its short-term rental demand is built on being the nearest real mountain escape for the vast Los Angeles and Inland Empire population, roughly two hours by car. The draw is dual-natured: in winter, the Big Bear Mountain Resort and Snow Summit ski areas pull skiers and snowboarders; the rest of the year, Big Bear Lake itself anchors boating, fishing, hiking and the Alpine Slide. The Village's shops and restaurants give the town a walkable resort core that supports cabin-and-chalet stays.
This is a drive-to, weekend-heavy leisure market dominated by families and groups renting cabins rather than business or international travel. With 361 active listings, supply is unusually deep for a town of about 5,000 residents, reflecting how mature and competitive the Big Bear STR scene is. The combination of a hard licence cap and heavy supply makes this a market where occupancy is hard-won and differentiation, not just owning a cabin, drives results.
Big Bear Lake is a winter-led market with a 115% seasonality index, peaking in December and January when ski demand is at its height: December 2025 reached 51.4% and the prior December 49.2%, with February also firm in the low 40s. Unlike the Italian Alpine towns, summer is a secondary plateau rather than a co-equal peak, July and August sit around 41-42%, busy but below the snow season because the heat sends many Angelenos to the coast instead.
The weakest months are May and September, the shoulders between seasons, with May 2025 at 30.6% and September dipping into the high 20s, when neither skiing nor peak lake activity is in full swing. This produces a relatively moderate seasonal swing by mountain-resort standards, but it still means two demand humps to price for, weekends far outperform weekdays year-round, so minimum-stay rules and weekend premiums matter more here than raw seasonal pricing.
The Village is the walkable commercial heart, near shops, dining and the lake, and its cabins convert well for guests who want to leave the car parked. Around it, the lakefront and Boulder Bay areas trade on water access and views, prized in summer for boating and fishing bases. The slopes side toward Moonridge and the Big Bear Mountain Resort / Snow Summit base draws winter skiers who prioritise lift proximity.
Fox Farm and the more residential pockets offer larger, often better-value cabins for groups willing to drive a few minutes to the lake or lifts. Across the area, the practical levers are hot tubs, group capacity and proximity to either the lifts or the lakefront, since with 361 listings competing, location plus amenity package, not address alone, determines which cabins fill the weekends.
Big Bear Lake regulates short-term rentals tightly through its Transient Private Home Rental (TPHR) program. Every STR, defined as a rental of 28 consecutive days or fewer, needs a Vacation Rental License, with a reported initial fee around 550 dollars and an annual renewal near 325 dollars. The city caps total active licences at roughly 1,500 and limits owners to two active licences (those holding more before 16 September 2021 may keep renewing them).
Owners and their check-in, 24/7-response and management agents must pass an annual city certification exam, and operators must collect Transient Occupancy Tax, which rose to 10% for stays after 1 January 2025. Because the cap and rules change and figures can be revised, confirm current licence availability, fees and requirements directly with the City of Big Bear Lake's Vacation Rental Program before buying or onboarding a unit, especially given the hard cap on new licences.
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* Calculations based on 30 days/month. Actual results may vary depending on market, season, property type, and implemented strategy.
Big Bear Lake averaged about 36% occupancy over the analysis period, roughly 130 booked nights a year, around 20 points below the 56% national reference. That low fill reflects weekend-concentrated demand and a deep field of 361 active listings competing for it, so cabins lean on rate rather than occupancy to make their numbers.
Winter is strongest, with December and January peaking on ski demand (51.4% in December 2025). Summer is a secondary plateau around 41-42% in July and August. The weakest months are May and September, the between-season shoulders dropping toward 30% or below, so price the snow season hardest and lean on weekend premiums year-round.
Yes. The city's Transient Private Home Rental program requires a Vacation Rental License for any stay of 28 days or fewer, with reported fees around 550 dollars initial and 325 renewal. The city caps total licences near 1,500 and limits owners to two, plus an annual certification exam and a 10% occupancy tax. Confirm current availability with the City before buying.
The Village converts well for walkable, car-free stays near shops and the lake. Lakefront and Boulder Bay win in summer for water access; Moonridge and the Snow Summit base draw winter skiers wanting lift proximity. Fox Farm offers larger, better-value group cabins. With 361 listings competing, amenities like hot tubs and group capacity matter as much as address.